Every minute the radar publishes the ten covered mints under 30 seconds old with the highest calibrated rug probability and the ten under 15 minutes with the highest graduation probability. Every night we score those calls against what happened, using the same label rules as every paid card (/v1/labels): a rug flag is a hit if our rug label fired within 300 seconds of the first call; a graduation flag is a hit if the mint truly graduated. Base rates are the shares of all launches that day. Outcomes settle late, so the last three days can still move. Validation tables behind the probabilities: /v1/calibration. JSON: /v1/track-record.
Facts from our own capture, not advice. Hit rates near the published probabilities mean the numbers are calibrated; hit rates far above the base rate mean the ranking has skill.