How many pump.fun launches truly graduate, how many of those graduations are instant bundles that nobody outside the bundle could trade, and how long the rest take. Last build 2026-10-12T00:58:01Z; rebuilt every night at 00:58 UTC. Every figure names its window; all of them come from our own capture of pump.fun program events.
| kind | launches | share of launches | true graduations | graduation rate | curve complete on the chain | rug within 300 s | creator sold within 60 s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classic (SOL-quoted, not mayhem) | 216,889 | 61.7% | 5,622 | 2.59% | 5,682 | 53.0% | 40.9% |
| mayhem mode (SOL-quoted) | 84,291 | 24.0% | not a graduation | 1,897 | 87.6% | 69.4% | |
| quoted in another asset | 50,544 | 14.4% | not measured | 622 | not measured | 40.3% |
2 launches whose quote asset is not established are in none of the three rows.
| kind | launches | share of launches | true graduations | graduation rate | curve complete on the chain | rug within 300 s | creator sold within 60 s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| classic (SOL-quoted, not mayhem) | 761,797 | 62.1% | 24,013 | 3.15% | 24,247 | 55.2% | 42.4% |
| mayhem mode (SOL-quoted) | 317,326 | 25.9% | not a graduation | 8,365 | 87.9% | 69.1% | |
| quoted in another asset | 147,698 | 12.0% | not measured | 1,967 | not measured | 49.6% |
17 launches whose quote asset is not established are in none of the three rows.
Label check: on 998,125 classic launches (42 day files) the chain marks 32,492 curves complete; our graduation label names 32,045 of them (98.6%) and 16 that the chain does not call complete.
Every true graduation of the last 24 hours, one by one with its label (instant bundle or organic): pump.fun graduations (free, 5 minutes delayed; also an Atom feed).
| metric | 7 days: 2026-10-05 to 2026-10-11 | 30 days: 2026-09-12 to 2026-10-11 |
|---|---|---|
| launches | 351,726 | 1,226,838 |
| true graduations | 5,648 | 24,086 |
| graduation rate | 1.61% | 1.96% |
| instant-bundle graduations (migrated within 2 s of launch) | 3,453 | 13,727 |
| instant-bundle share of graduations | 61.1% | 57.0% |
| organic graduations (every other true graduation) | 2,195 | 10,359 |
| organic graduation rate | 0.62% | 0.84% |
| median launch to graduation, all true graduations | 0.03 s | 0.35 s |
| median launch to graduation, organic graduations | 6.6 min | 4.0 min |
| rug flag within 300 s of launch | 53.7% | 57.0% |
| creator's first sell within 60 s of launch | 47.7% | 50.2% |
Days still settling (rebuilt nightly, can change): 2026-10-09, 2026-10-10, 2026-10-11.
97.4% of the 2,195 organic graduates shared their ticker with at least one other mint launched in the same 7 days; the median organic graduate had 24 other mints with its ticker. 351,260 launches used 73,507 distinct tickers (compared case-insensitively).
Most-copied tickers of the window (the most launched; each links to its free census of every mint launched with that ticker in the last 30 days):
| ticker | mints launched | true graduations | organic graduations |
|---|---|---|---|
PUMP | 2,993 | 10 | 6 |
STUTUTU | 2,712 | 0 | 0 |
SI | 1,912 | 23 | 15 |
CAT | 1,266 | 5 | 5 |
SOL | 1,147 | 2 | 0 |
TEST | 1,091 | 0 | 0 |
AI | 927 | 26 | 11 |
MASSIMO | 870 | 2 | 1 |
INUX | 861 | 0 | 0 |
ULTRA | 839 | 0 | 0 |
| day | launches | true graduations | graduation rate | instant share | organic rate | median organic time | rug within 300 s | creator sold within 60 s |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 (settling) | 42,618 | 646 | 1.52% | 68.6% | 0.48% | 5.1 min | 53.7% | 49.2% |
| 2026-10-10 (settling) | 48,417 | 712 | 1.47% | 66.4% | 0.49% | 7.8 min | 52.4% | 46.5% |
| 2026-10-09 (settling) | 47,021 | 819 | 1.74% | 61.8% | 0.67% | 7.4 min | 56.0% | 48.4% |
| 2026-10-08 | 55,476 | 866 | 1.56% | 59.6% | 0.63% | 7.2 min | 52.8% | 49.0% |
| 2026-10-07 | 55,702 | 896 | 1.61% | 59.6% | 0.65% | 7.2 min | 54.9% | 49.6% |
| 2026-10-06 | 53,155 | 897 | 1.69% | 60.8% | 0.66% | 5.5 min | 53.3% | 46.6% |
| 2026-10-05 | 49,337 | 812 | 1.65% | 53.7% | 0.76% | 6.4 min | 52.6% | 44.2% |
| 2026-10-04 | 50,688 | 946 | 1.87% | 55.7% | 0.83% | 6.0 min | 56.0% | 45.9% |
| 2026-10-03 | 52,123 | 944 | 1.81% | 56.2% | 0.79% | 5.5 min | 57.1% | 46.9% |
| 2026-10-02 | 46,645 | 921 | 1.97% | 55.6% | 0.88% | 5.4 min | 61.4% | 51.1% |
| 2026-10-01 | 50,350 | 974 | 1.93% | 59.9% | 0.78% | 4.8 min | 63.0% | 55.0% |
| 2026-09-30 | 49,042 | 918 | 1.87% | 61.8% | 0.72% | 5.8 min | 59.8% | 50.1% |
| 2026-09-29 | 43,327 | 817 | 1.89% | 54.8% | 0.85% | 3.3 min | 60.6% | 51.1% |
| 2026-09-28 | 42,266 | 908 | 2.15% | 43.2% | 1.22% | 2.1 min | 60.9% | 50.9% |
| day | pools opened with 50 SOL or more | lost 90% inside 30 min | share | median time to the collapse | survivors ending above open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-11 | 683 | 426 | 62.4% | 9.2 min | 63.0% |
| 2026-10-10 | 761 | 461 | 60.6% | 9.2 min | 65.3% |
| 2026-10-09 | 898 | 523 | 58.2% | 8.6 min | 70.1% |
| 2026-10-08 | 932 | 580 | 62.2% | 8.4 min | 66.5% |
| 2026-10-07 | 929 | 578 | 62.2% | 8.2 min | 66.4% |
| 2026-10-06 | 941 | 573 | 60.9% | 8.1 min | 60.1% |
| 2026-10-05 | 851 | 520 | 61.1% | 7.7 min | 62.8% |
launches: pump.fun mints created that UTC day and seen by our capturegraduated: true graduation under our label rules: the bonding curve completed, or a migration was seen while the curve was near completion; fake pools do not countinstant_graduations: true graduations whose migration was seen within 2 s of launch: the mint was created, filled and migrated in one bundle, before anyone outside it could tradeorganic_graduations: every other true graduation (including the few with no migration timing)median_s_to_graduation_all: median seconds from launch to the first migration sighting over true graduations with timingmedian_s_to_graduation_organic: the same median over organic graduationsrug_within_300s_rate: share of launches our rug classification flagged within 300 s of launch (drain from a meaningful peak)creator_sold_within_60s_share: share of launches whose creator's first sell came within 60 s of launchticker_copies: 7-day window, tickers compared case-insensitively: for each organic graduate, the number of other mints launched in the same 7 days with the same ticker; top_launched_tickers = the most launched tickers of those 7 dayssettling: the dataset export rebuilds its last three days nightly because outcomes settle late; those numbers can still changepools: the PumpSwap pools our capture saw open that UTC day with 50 SOL or more, five or more trades in their first 30 minutes and no gap in our reading of them (recorded by chainstack/pool_outcomes.py): lost_90pct_in_30m = the pool price at the last trade inside those 30 minutes was at or below a tenth of the price at the first trade; median_s_to_collapse = seconds from the pool's opening to the first price at or below that tenth; observations of what happened, not a forecastby_kind: the same counts per kind of launch, read from each launch's own curve account on the chain. classic = quoted in SOL and not mayhem mode: the kind our graduation and rug labels fully describe, and the denominator to use for a graduation rate. mayhem = a SOL-quoted mayhem-mode launch (an opt-in setting in which pump.fun's own agent may trade the coin): a few percent of them are marked complete on the chain with reserves far below the 85 SOL of a graduation (complete_on_chain), which is not a graduation under our rules. other_quote = quoted in another asset, mayhem mode or not (tokenized stocks, PUMP, USDC, PYUSD, other coins; since 2026-09-10): measured in SOL our labels do not apply, so complete_on_chain is the one outcome given. The headline rates above divide by ALL launches, as they always havelabel_check: our graduated label against the curve account's own `complete` flag on classic launches (see /v1/datasets/schema/pumpfun_launches)Label rules behind every outcome: /v1/labels. These numbers as JSON (free): /v1/stats/pumpfun.
GET https://api.loopholetape.com/v1/check/mint/{mint}, $0.005: calibrated odds of a true graduation and observed rug evidence for one live mint.GET https://api.loopholetape.com/v1/verdict/{mint}, $0.01: one word (avoid, caution, no_flags_observed) with the odds and up to three observed reasons.GET https://api.loopholetape.com/v1/graduations/recent, $0.02: the newest true graduations.Pay with USDC by x402 (no account) or a prepaid key; all prices at /pricing. Free: live radar, track record, calibration tables.