loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

WOZ · Steve Wozniak

token 0x57de4cb32ca8d57f2ab2e8edc9536c7ad299bb4d

curve 0xd2f5799ba8de219fe9a90f3d6309f747d4824363

Launched · block 71501650 · tx 0x7c7a…2418
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax0 bps (0%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x2466…ce1b

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomenot graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-25 00:12:02 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-25 00:11:35 UTC
Raised at the last state0.0034 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.1%)
Peak raised75.0% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)1.00x at the last state, 8.26x at the peak
Curve trades observed77 buys, 38 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

measureat 3 s after launchlatest snapshot (2026-09-24 20:00:00 UTC)
Holders on the curve45
Top holder share97.9%93.1%
Top 5 holders share100.0%100.0%
Deployer holding share97.9%0.0%
Same-block direct-buy cluster share0.0%0.0%
Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters02
Buys sent direct to the curve75.0%35.1%
Buys through a terminal router25.0%64.9%
Held by terminal-router buyers97.9%3.7%
Unique buyers429
Buys tied to a sender100.0%98.7%

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: does not match. On the latest snapshot: does not match.

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.