ARCA · ARCANA
token 0xc00c26b09d602a04a83e6d7f8224affa3ecc4ca7
curve 0xcce912ccc1751cbd9d676f01d0a6bf92b3aa2822
| Launched | · block 69815984 · tx 0x6013…0e00 |
|---|---|
| Launchpad | Pons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663) |
| Quote asset | ETH (native) |
| Creator tax | 250 bps (2.5%), on every buy and sell |
| Trade fee | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Deployer | 0xcd75…c2c3 |
| Outcome | not graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-24 22:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-24 21:42:42 UTC |
|---|---|
| Raised at the last state | 2.3540 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (56.0%) |
| Peak raised | 87.7% of the graduation raise |
| Price vs launch (exact curve model) | 5.77x at the last state, 10.19x at the peak |
| Curve trades observed | 649 buys, 419 sells |
A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.
| measure | at 3 s after launch | latest snapshot (2026-09-22 20:00:00 UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Holders on the curve | 18 | 34 |
| Top holder share | 59.4% | 45.1% |
| Top 5 holders share | 78.1% | 83.5% |
| Deployer holding share | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Same-block direct-buy cluster share | 72.7% | 79.1% |
| Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters | 9 | 15 |
| Buys sent direct to the curve | 74.1% | 70.0% |
| Buys through a terminal router | 25.9% | 30.0% |
| Held by terminal-router buyers | 20.0% | 11.7% |
| Unique buyers | 21 | 115 |
| Buys tied to a sender | 100.0% | 94.5% |
Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.
The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.
This launch at 3 s: matches. On the latest snapshot: matches.
Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.
The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.
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Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.