SQUARED · Squared
token 0x9248d80e041dee2ac418a0424f7d9f70d3ac8c4c
curve 0xca4c39f2f56d26e8bb59854dee02221deb853d48
| Launched | · block 73471364 · tx 0x7c44…ad59 |
|---|---|
| Launchpad | pons v2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663) |
| Quote asset | ETH (native) |
| Creator tax | 200 bps (2%), on every buy and sell |
| Trade fee | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Deployer | 0x1067…33eb |
Verdict: caution
No avoid rule fired, but the curve graduated 730 s after launch and the token now trades on its Uniswap v4 pool, which this API does not read; the curve-stage rules no longer apply.
pool_not_covered)As of 2026-09-27 00:12:02 UTC. The rule, its thresholds and the base rates it rests on are public at /v1/labels (rhc_verdict); it is not odds, not a prediction for this curve and not a safety verdict. The paid curve card gives the verdict at request time with the deployer record and an exact sell check.
| Outcome | graduated: the pool opened at 2026-09-26 23:32:14 UTC, 12.2 min after launch (block 73478559) |
|---|---|
| Raised at the last state | 4.2000 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (100.0%) |
| Peak raised | 100.0% of the graduation raise |
| Price vs launch (exact curve model) | 12.25x at the last state, 12.25x at the peak |
| Curve trades observed | 238 buys, 141 sells |
A pons curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public pons v2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.
| measure | at 3 s after launch | latest snapshot (2026-09-27 00:12:02 UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Holders on the curve | 11 | 62 |
| Top holder share | 81.9% | 54.5% |
| Top 5 holders share | 98.7% | 79.1% |
| Deployer holding share | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Same-block direct-buy cluster share | 98.2% | 72.9% |
| Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters | 8 | 14 |
| Buys sent direct to the curve | 95.8% | 57.1% |
| Buys through a terminal router | 4.2% | 42.9% |
| Held by terminal-router buyers | 1.7% | 4.5% |
| Unique buyers | 11 | 150 |
| Buys tied to a sender | 100.0% | 100.0% |
Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.
The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.
This launch at 3 s: matches. On the latest snapshot: matches.
Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.
The 09-07 study is our own pons v2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.
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Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.