loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

PHEDGE · Polyhedge

token 0x08eb44e4d87273787274b81a3b9d2e95d0e6d763

curve 0xc1094c167a490bb93a393bf3abc45f0a7d271dd5

Launched · block 69043276 · tx 0xd582…b5cf
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax0 bps (0%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x65ae…f248

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomenot graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-24 03:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-24 02:25:11 UTC
Raised at the last state0.0003 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.0%)
Peak raised58.6% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)1.00x at the last state, 6.07x at the peak
Curve trades observed225 buys, 175 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

measureat 3 s after launchlatest snapshot (2026-09-21 23:00:00 UTC)
Holders on the curve233
Top holder share9.9%89.4%
Top 5 holders share36.0%100.0%
Deployer holding share4.0%0.0%
Same-block direct-buy cluster share95.6%89.4%
Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters2139
Buys sent direct to the curve95.8%92.4%
Buys through a terminal router4.2%7.6%
Held by terminal-router buyers4.0%10.6%
Unique buyers2469
Buys tied to a sender100.0%100.0%

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: matches. On the latest snapshot: matches.

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.