loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

GCTG · gc tg xyz

token 0x4d56fcf7e37a64c1ebda1b8c9ecc9c7fdb912465

curve 0xbde17640dec06eda14e4059ab62b3f945ad4175b

Launched · block 68143166 · tx 0x8bae…7cf2
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax0 bps (0%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x9f69…f862

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomenot graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-20 22:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-20 18:12:03 UTC
Raised at the last state0.0000 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.0%)
Peak raised52.2% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)1.00x at the last state, 5.32x at the peak
Curve trades observed82 buys, 80 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

Holder snapshot: not available: the tape that ties router trades to their senders is not held for the hours of this launch, and holder figures without it would merge different buyers.

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: not evaluated (no holder snapshot). On the latest snapshot: not evaluated (no holder snapshot).

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.