SHADOWTX · ShadowTX
token 0xd4837f2f0259e9ba94242d47a6b66fac842d7a90
curve 0x82cdc863acd05ac35dc8c4a338ed0a85da699262
| Launched | · block 68906900 · tx 0xff39…2ac0 |
|---|---|
| Launchpad | Pons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663) |
| Quote asset | ETH (native) |
| Creator tax | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Trade fee | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Deployer | 0xed4b…1784 |
| Outcome | graduated: the pool opened at 2026-09-21 17:03:48 UTC, 91.5 min after launch (block 68961804) |
|---|---|
| Raised at the last state | 4.1212 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (98.1%) |
| Peak raised | 98.1% of the graduation raise |
| Price vs launch (exact curve model) | 11.80x at the last state, 11.80x at the peak |
| Curve trades observed | 374 buys, 242 sells |
A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.
| measure | at 3 s after launch | latest snapshot (2026-09-21 19:00:00 UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Holders on the curve | 23 | 52 |
| Top holder share | 63.1% | 34.6% |
| Top 5 holders share | 80.3% | 76.8% |
| Deployer holding share | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Same-block direct-buy cluster share | 14.2% | 15.6% |
| Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters | 8 | 17 |
| Buys sent direct to the curve | 76.9% | 61.0% |
| Buys through a terminal router | 23.1% | 39.0% |
| Held by terminal-router buyers | 6.6% | 14.1% |
| Unique buyers | 23 | 141 |
| Buys tied to a sender | 100.0% | 92.5% |
Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.
The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.
This launch at 3 s: does not match. On the latest snapshot: does not match.
Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.
The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.
Open on Pons · explorer · DexScreener (free redirects through this site to third-party pages, no referral code and no fee; not a recommendation to trade)
Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.