loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

BOUNTY · (name not shown: it reads like a link)

token 0xce948ee705a31342248069b3163f3a6f06921291

curve 0x5ccff0bb1e1815b3a77f4099bd70bd304f846404

Launched · block 70005989 · tx 0x2793…6a02
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax0 bps (0%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x5537…d7d6

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomenot graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-23 02:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-22 22:19:40 UTC
Raised at the last state0.0060 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.1%)
Peak raised56.8% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)1.01x at the last state, 5.85x at the peak
Curve trades observed136 buys, 122 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

measureat 3 s after launchlatest snapshot (2026-09-23 02:00:00 UTC)
Holders on the curve296
Top holder share8.3%55.7%
Top 5 holders share32.2%98.5%
Deployer holding share3.3%0.0%
Same-block direct-buy cluster share96.6%1.5%
Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters2729
Buys sent direct to the curve96.5%96.3%
Buys through a terminal router3.5%3.7%
Held by terminal-router buyers3.3%20.2%
Unique buyers2954
Buys tied to a sender100.0%100.0%

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: matches. On the latest snapshot: does not match.

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.