DIVIDE · Divide Money
token 0xde32dbfcd52d20e8295e6208324a20aef8209f1d
curve 0x2f3ea771212ee8db062c3e8863c01fc97e5fa025
| Launched | · block 73499278 · tx 0xa66b…a1fa |
|---|---|
| Launchpad | pons v2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663) |
| Quote asset | ETH (native) |
| Creator tax | 200 bps (2%), on every buy and sell |
| Trade fee | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Deployer | 0xd9ef…4d08 |
Verdict: caution
No avoid rule fired, but 54 min after launch the curve has not graduated and its price is 32% of its peak (3.66x the launch price now, 11.49x at the peak).
collapsed_not_graduated; base rate: of launches not graduated 30 min after launch (2026-09-06..26, n=375,631), 0.31% graduated later)As of 2026-09-27 01:01:09 UTC. The rule, its thresholds and the base rates it rests on are public at /v1/labels (rhc_verdict); it is not odds, not a prediction for this curve and not a safety verdict. The paid curve card gives the verdict at request time with the deployer record and an exact sell check.
| Outcome | still on its bonding curve when we last read it (2026-09-27 01:01:09 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-27 01:00:32 UTC |
|---|---|
| Raised at the last state | 1.5352 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (36.5%) |
| Peak raised | 95.6% of the graduation raise |
| Price vs launch (exact curve model) | 3.66x at the last state, 11.49x at the peak |
| Curve trades observed | 582 buys, 485 sells |
A pons curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public pons v2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.
| measure | at 3 s after launch | latest snapshot (2026-09-27 01:01:09 UTC) |
|---|---|---|
| Holders on the curve | 6 | 58 |
| Top holder share | 85.4% | 37.9% |
| Top 5 holders share | 99.9% | 59.5% |
| Deployer holding share | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Same-block direct-buy cluster share | 85.4% | 58.6% |
| Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters | 1 | 29 |
| Buys sent direct to the curve | 86.7% | 58.4% |
| Buys through a terminal router | 13.3% | 41.6% |
| Held by terminal-router buyers | 13.8% | 23.8% |
| Unique buyers | 6 | 189 |
| Buys tied to a sender | 100.0% | 97.6% |
Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.
The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.
This launch at 3 s: does not match. On the latest snapshot: matches.
Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.
The 09-07 study is our own pons v2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.
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Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.