loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

musechat · musechat

token 0x5e8ad3be140b2dd0f1da40add1133070e4c34b91

curve 0x1372f53992cfde9b53138ed4c20ced94ee7153b3

Launched · block 66126811 · tx 0xc3eb…3cb6
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax144 bps (1.44%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x05eb…d1a2

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomegraduated: the pool opened at 2026-09-18 10:02:09 UTC, 18.3 min after launch (block 66137714)
Raised at the last state4.2000 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (100.0%)
Peak raised100.0% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)12.25x at the last state, 12.25x at the peak
Curve trades observed199 buys, 151 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

Holder snapshot: not available: the tape that ties router trades to their senders is not held for the hours of this launch, and holder figures without it would merge different buyers.

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: not evaluated (no holder snapshot). On the latest snapshot: not evaluated (no holder snapshot).

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.