loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

STILLRED · Stillred

token 0xeec7c359344c81fdb3d90eac3890701c78a9bac5

curve 0x0a809a9935877e367fb27f01f91764d65178b0c1

Launched · block 75361024 · tx 0x9957…9c2d
Launchpadpons v2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax250 bps (2.5%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x2fb2…ca48

Verdict by the public rule

Verdict: no flags observed

None of the avoid or caution rules fired at this time; that is not a safety verdict and not a safety guarantee.

As of 2026-09-29 06:12:02 UTC. The rule, its thresholds and the base rates it rests on are public at /v1/labels (rhc_verdict); it is not odds, not a prediction for this curve and not a safety verdict. The paid curve card gives the verdict at request time with the deployer record and an exact sell check.

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomestill on its bonding curve when we last read it (2026-09-29 06:12:02 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-29 06:08:17 UTC
Raised at the last state2.4705 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (58.8%)
Peak raised75.5% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)6.10x at the last state, 8.34x at the peak
Curve trades observed106 buys, 47 sells

A pons curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public pons v2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

measureat 3 s after launchlatest snapshot (2026-09-29 06:12:02 UTC)
Holders on the curve751
Top holder share33.0%7.6%
Top 5 holders share96.4%29.5%
Deployer holding share33.0%4.3%
Same-block direct-buy cluster share31.6%13.2%
Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters210
Buys sent direct to the curve71.4%70.8%
Buys through a terminal router28.6%29.2%
Held by terminal-router buyers38.9%17.9%
Unique buyers773
Buys tied to a sender100.0%100.0%

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership, and on pons v2 such a cluster is often the launch team's own opening bundle, bought by addresses the launch call exempted from the snipe tax. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Same-block buying at 3 s (the ring rule): context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5, that is at least 8 buyers 3 s after launch and the wallets buying direct from the curve in the same 100 ms blocks (a block with at least 2 direct buys) holding at least 50% of the tokens bought.

Here at 3 s: 2 wallets buying direct from the curve in the same 100 ms blocks held 31.6% of the tokens, with 7 buyers in all.

This launch at 3 s: does not match. On the latest snapshot: does not match.

When a launch matched this rule at 3 s (at least 8 buyers, and the wallets buying direct from the curve in the same 100 ms blocks holding at least 50% of the tokens), 92.7% of such launches did not graduate and those ended near 0.36 of their peak price (ETH launches of 2026-09-19..25 with a 3 s snapshot, n=28,147); on pons v2 such a cluster is often the team's own opening bundle, which the launch call can exempt from the snipe tax. Base rates over other launches, not odds for this curve.

Why the team's own bundle: the pons v2 docs describe a launch call that exempts up to 32 addresses from the snipe tax "for a team bundling its opening buys across several wallets", and in 63% of the 2,176 launches that matched at 3 s in 2026-09-20..27 most of the cluster's buying in seconds 0-2 paid no snipe tax (measured 2026-09-27 on our tape).

The 09-07 study is our own pons v2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

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More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.