CONTRA · CLANKER CONTRA
token 0x13a865a840e85069b365084b6f62e61299d14bde
curve 0x04e5f815d18554e3ee33799709060a9ea6901c03
| Launched | · block 66406092 · tx 0x41f3…dd0c |
|---|---|
| Launchpad | Pons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663) |
| Quote asset | ETH (native) |
| Creator tax | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Trade fee | 100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell |
| Deployer | 0x92ee…c8b1 |
| Outcome | not graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-24 03:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-24 02:32:40 UTC |
|---|---|
| Raised at the last state | 0.0006 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.0%) |
| Peak raised | 68.7% of the graduation raise |
| Price vs launch (exact curve model) | 1.00x at the last state, 7.38x at the peak |
| Curve trades observed | 171 buys, 157 sells |
A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.
Holder snapshot: not available: the tape that ties router trades to their senders is not held for the hours of this launch, and holder figures without it would merge different buyers.
Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.
The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.
This launch at 3 s: not evaluated (no holder snapshot). On the latest snapshot: not evaluated (no holder snapshot).
Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.
The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.
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