loophole tape Robinhood Chain launch record

CPEAK · CasterPeak

token 0xa4fd488f8a9f9efaddbfc105d9fdad2a9e8cbd3f

curve 0x03b606011cdfe4784ba61828c948e50b9f278bd0

Launched · block 70476361 · tx 0x54e5…a375
LaunchpadPons V2 on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663)
Quote assetETH (native)
Creator tax100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Trade fee100 bps (1%), on every buy and sell
Deployer0x5e32…0998

Did it graduate? Outcome on the curve

Outcomenot graduated when we last read the curve (2026-09-23 15:00:00 UTC); last curve trade observed 2026-09-23 11:49:17 UTC
Raised at the last state0.0025 ETH of the 4.2 ETH graduation raise (0.1%)
Peak raised89.3% of the graduation raise
Price vs launch (exact curve model)1.00x at the last state, 10.45x at the peak
Curve trades observed69 buys, 12 sells

A Pons V2 curve graduates when its real quote reserve reaches the graduation raise (4.2 ETH on ETH-quoted curves): the curve completes and a pool opens. Raised and price come from the exact constant-product model rebuilt from the curve's own buy, sell and fee-sweep events (fee and creator tax on both legs). From our own independent capture of public Pons V2 factory and curve events on Robinhood Chain (chain 4663), not resold data.

Holder structure

measureat 3 s after launchlatest snapshot (2026-09-23 15:00:00 UTC)
Holders on the curve259
Top holder share91.6%12.6%
Top 5 holders share100.0%35.2%
Deployer holding share8.4%1.1%
Same-block direct-buy cluster share91.6%24.8%
Wallets in same-block direct-buy clusters16
Buys sent direct to the curve75.0%94.2%
Buys through a terminal router25.0%5.8%
Held by terminal-router buyers8.4%1.2%
Unique buyers263
Buys tied to a sender100.0%100.0%

Holders are wallets with a positive balance bought on the curve (pool trades after graduation are not counted). A same-block direct-buy cluster is a set of wallets that bought directly from the curve in one 100 ms block with at least one other direct buy; matching timing does not establish coordination or common ownership. A terminal router is a trading front end's contract; routing does not identify a human or a bot.

Ring rule: context, not odds

The ring rule published with our paid cards: unique_buyers >= 8 and structure.same_block_direct_cluster_share >= 0.5.

This launch at 3 s: does not match. On the latest snapshot: does not match.

Curves matching this structure at 3 s dumped 47% of the time in the 09-07 study: a different population, not odds for this curve.

The 09-07 study is our own Pons V2 capture of 2026-09-06/07 with the structure read 3 s after launch: 14.5% of launches matched the rule, 47% of the ETH launches matching it fell to 0.6x of their price or less within 60 s (dumped), and their median ended at 0.37x its launch price. Matching timing does not establish coordination, common ownership or intent.

Open this launch

Open on Pons · explorer · DexScreener (free redirects through this site to third-party pages, no referral code and no fee; not a recommendation to trade)

More on this launch

Free: Robinhood Chain launch data · Pons statistics · label rules · this record as JSON. Pay with USDC by x402 or a prepaid key; prices at /pricing.